In
the wake of the collapse of the Seattle Ministerial, there has emerged the opinion that reform of the WTO is now the program
that NGOs, governments, and citizens must embrace. The collapse of the WTO Ministerial is said to provide a unique window
of opportunity for a reformist agenda.
Cited
by some as a positive sign is United States Trade Representative Charlene Barshefsky’s comment, immediately after the
collapse of the Seattle Ministerial, that “the WTO has outgrown the processes appropriate to an earlier time. An increasing
and necessary view, generally shared among the members, was that we needed a process which had a greater degree of internal
transparency and inclusion to accommodate a larger and more diverse membership.”
Also
seen as an encouraging gesture is UK Secretary of State for Trade and Industry Stephen Byers’ comment after the Seattle
fiasco that the “WTO must be radically reformed.”
These
are, in our view, damage control statements and provide little indication of the seriousness about reform of the two governments
that were, pre-Seattle, the stoutest defenders of the inequalities built into the structure, dynamics, and objectives of the
WTO. It is unfortunate that they are now being cited to convince developing countries and NGO’s to take up an agenda
of reform that could lead precisely to the strengthening of an organization that is very fundamentally flawed.
What
civil society, North and South, should instead be doing at this point is either pushing for the abolition of the WTO or overloading
or jamming it so that it cannot function effectively.
Is
the WTO Necessary?
This
is the fundamental question on which the question of reform or abolition hinges.
The
necessity of the WTO is one of the biggest lies of our time, and its acceptance is due to the same propaganda principle practiced
by Jospeh Goebbels: if you repeat a lie often enough it will be taken as truth.
World
trade did not need the WTO to expand 17-fold between 1948 and 1997, from $124 billion to $10,772 billion. This expansion took
place under the flexible GATT trade regime. The WTO’s founding in 1995 did not respond to a collapse or crisis of world
trade such as happened in the 1930’s. It was not necessary for global peace, since no world war or trade-related war
had taken place during that period. In the six inter- state wars that took place in that period—the Korean War of 1950-53,
the Vietnam War of 1945-75, the 1967 Arab-Israeli War, the 1973 Arab-Israeli War, the 1982 Falklands War, and the Gulf War
of 1990—trade conflict did not figure even remotely as a cause.
GATT
was, in fact, functioning reasonably well as a framework for liberalizing world trade. Its dispute- settlement system was
flexible and with its recognition of the “special and differential status” of developing countries, it provided
the space in a global economy for Third World countries to use trade policy for development and industrialization.
Why
was the WTO established following the Uruguay Round of 1986-94? Of the major trading powers, Japan was very ambivalent, concerned
as it was to protect its agriculture as well as its particular system of industrial production that, through formal and informal
mechanisms, gave its local producers primary right to exploit the domestic market. The EU, well on the way of becoming a self-sufficient
trading bloc, was likewise ambivalent, knowing that its highly subsidized system in agriculture would come under attack. Though
demanding greater access to their manufactured and agricultural products in the Northern economies, the developing countries
did not see this as being accomplished through a comprehensive agreement enforced by a powerful trade bureaucracy but through
discrete negotiations and agreements in the model of the Integrated Program for Commodities (IPCs) and Commodity Stabilization
Fund agreed upon under the aegis of UNCTAD in the late seventies.
The
founding of the WTO served primarily the interest of the United States. Just as it was the US which blocked the founding of
the International Trade Organization (ITO) in 1948, when it felt that this would not serve its position of overwhelming economic
dominance in the post-war world, so it was the US that became the dominant lobbyist for the comprehensive Uruguay Round and
the founding of the WTO in late eighties and early nineties, when it felt that more competitive global conditions had created
a situation where its corporate interests now demanded an opposite stance.
Just
as it was the US’s threat in the 1950’s to leave GATT if it was not allowed to maintain protective mechanisms
for milk and other agricultural products that led to agricultural trade’s exemption from GATT rules, so was it US pressure
that brought agriculture into the GATT-WTO system in 1995. And the reason for Washington’s change of mind was articulated
quite candidly by then US Agriculture Secretary John Block at the start of the Uruguay Round negotiations in 1986: “[The]
idea that developing countries should feed themselves is an anachronism from a bygone era. They could better ensure their
food security by relying on US agricultural products, which are available, in most cases at much lower cost.” Washington,
of course, did not just have developing country markets in mind, but also Japan, South Korea, and the European Union.
It
was the US that mainly pushed to bring services under WTO coverage, with its assessment that the in the new burgeoning area
of international services, and particularly in financial services, its corporations had a lead that needed to be preserved.
It was also the US that pushed to expand WTO jurisdiction to the the so- called “Trade-Related Investment Measures”
(TRIMs) and “Trade-Related Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPs).” The first sought to eliminate barriers to the
system of trade among TNC subsidiaries that had been imposed by developing countries for developmental objectives, the second
to consolidate the US advantage in the cutting-edge knowledge-intensive industries.
And
it was the US that forced the creation of the WTO’s formidable dispute-resolution and enforcement mechanism after being
frustrated with what US trade officials considered weak GATT efforts to enforce rulings favorable to the US. As Washington’s
academic point man on trade, C. Fred Bergsten, head of the Institute of International Economics, told the US Senate, the strong
WTO dispute settlement mechanism serves US interests because “we can now use the full weight of the international machinery
to go after those trade barriers, reduce them, get them eliminated.”
It
has been Washington’s changing perceptions of the needs of its economic interest-groups that have shaped and reshaped
the international trading regime. It was not global necessity that gave birth to the WTO in 1995. It was the US’s assessment
that the interests of its corporations were no longer served by a loose and flexible GATT but needed an all-powerful and wide-ranging
WTO. From the free-market paradigm that underpins it, to the rules and regulations set forth in the different agreements that
make up the Uruguay Round, to its system of decision-making and accountability, the WTO is a blueprint for the global hegemony
of Corporate America.
In
contrast, among the developed countries, Japan, the European Union, and most other OECD countries were already reasonably
satisfied with the old, loose GATT system. Whether the WTO would, in fact, bring more benefits than costs to them is, in fact,
a question is unresolved in technocratic circles.
Can
the WTO Serve the Interests of the Developing Countries?
But
what about the developing countries? Is the WTO a necessary structure--one that, whatever its flaws, brings more benefits
than costs, and would therefore merit efforts at reform?
When
the Uruguay Round was being negotiated, there was considerable lack of enthusiasm for the process by the developing countries.
After all, these countries had formed the backbone of UNCTAD, which, with its system of one-country/one-vote and majority
voting, they felt was an international arena more congenial to their interests. They entered the Uruguay Round greatly resenting
the large trading powers’ policy of weakening and marginalizing UNCTAD in the late seventies and early eighties.
Largely
passive spectators, with a great number not even represented during the negotiations owing to resource constraints, the developing
countries were dragged into unenthusiastic endorsement of the Marrakesh Accord of 1994 that sealed the Uruguay Round and established
the WTO. To try to sell the WTO to the South, US propagandists evoked the fear that staying out of the WTO would result in
a country’s isolation from world trade (“like North Korea”) and stoked the promise that a “rules-based
system” of world trade would protect the weak countries from unilateral acts by the big trading powers. Moreover, three
agreements were specifically said to be designed to meet the needs of the South:
The
Agreement on Textiles and Clothing mandated that the system of quotas on Third World exports of textiles and garments to the
North would be dismantled over ten years.
The
Special Ministerial Agreement approved in Marrakesh that special compensatory measures would be taken to counteract the negative
effects of trade liberalization on the least developed countries;
The
Agreement on Agriculture, which, while “imperfect,” nevertheless promised greater market access to developing
country agricultural products and began the process of bringing down the high levels of state support and subsidization of
EU and US agriculture, which was resulting in the dumping of massive quantities of grain on Third World markets.
With
their economies dominated by the IMF and the World Bank, with the structural adjustment programs pushed by these agencies
having as a central element trade liberalization, much weaker as a bloc owing to the debt crisis compared to the 1970’s,
the height of the “New International Economic Order,” most developing country delegations felt they had no choice
but to sign on the dotted line.
Over
the next few year, these countries realized that they had signed away their right to employ a variety of critical trade measures
for development purposes.
In
contrast to the loose GATT framework, which had allowed some space for development initiatives, the comprehensive and tightened
Uruguay Round was fundamentally anti-development in its thrust. This is evident in the following:
Loss
of Trade Policy as Development Tool
In
signing on to GATT, Third World countries were committed to banning all quantitative restrictions on imports, reduce tariffs
on many industrial imports, and promise not to raise tariffs on all other imports. In so doing, they have effectively given
up the use of trade policy to pursue industrialization objectives. The way that the NICs, or “newly industrializing
countries,” made it to industrial status, via the policy of import substitution, is now effectively removed as a route
to industrialization.
The
anti-industrialization thrust of the GATT-WTO Accord is made even more manifest in the Agreement on Trade-Related Investment
Measures (TRIMs) and the Agreement on Trade-Related Intellectual Property Rights (TRIPs). In their drive to industrialize,
NICs like South Korea and Malaysia made use of many innovative mechanisms such as trade-balancing requirements that tied the
value of a foreign investor’s imports of raw materials and components to the value of his or her exports of the finished
commodity, or “local content” regulations which mandated that a certain percentage of the components that went
into the making of a product was sourced locally.
These
rules indeed restricted the maneuvering space of foreign investors, but they were successfully employed by the NICs to marry
foreign investment to national industrialization. They enabled the NICs to raise income from capital-intensive exports, develop
support industries, bring in technology, while still protecting local entrepreneurs’ preferential access to the domestic
market. In Malaysia, for instance, the strategic use of local content policy enabled the Malaysians to build a “national
car,” in cooperation with Mitsubishi, that has now achieved about 80 per cent local content and controls 70 per cent
of the Malaysian market.
Thanks
to the TRIMs accord, these mechanisms used are now illegal.
Monopolizing
Innovation
Like
the TRIMs agreement, the TRIPs regime is seen as effectively opposed to the industrialization and development efforts of Third
World countries. This becomes clear from a survey of the economic history not only of the NICs but of almost all late- industrializing
countries. A key factor in their industrial take-off was their relatively easy access to cutting-edge technology: The US industrialized,
to a great extent by using but paying very little for British manufacturing innovations, as did the Germans. Japan industrialized
by liberally borrowing US technological innovations, but barely compensating the Americans for this. And the Koreans industrialized
by copying quite liberally and with little payment US and Japanese product and process technologies.
But
what is “technological diffusion” from the perspective of the late industrializer is “piracy” from
that of the industrial leader. The TRIPs regime takes the side of the latter and makes the process of industrialization by
imitation much more difficult from hereon. It represents what UNCTAD describes as “a premature strengthening of the
intellectual property sustem...that favors monopolistically controlled innovation over broad-based diffusion.”
The
TRIPs regime provides a generalized minimum patent protection of 20 years; increases the duration of the protection for semi-conductors
or computer chips; institutes draconian border regulations against products judged to be violating intellectual property rights;
and places the burden of proof on the presumed violator of process patents.
The
TRIPs accord is a victory for the US high-tech industry, which has long been lobbying for stronger controls over the diffusion
of innovations. Innovation in the knowledge-intensive high-tech sector—in electronic software and hardware, biotechnology,
lasers, opto-electronics, liquid crystal technology, to name a few—has become the central determinant of economic power
in our time. And when any company in the NICs and Third World wishes to innovate, say in chip design, software programming,
or computer assembly, it necessarily has to integrate several patented designs and processes, most of them from US electronic
hardware and software giants like Microsoft, Intel, and Texas Instruments. As the Koreans have bitterly learned, exorbitant
multiple royalty payments to what has been called the American “high tech mafia” keeps one’s profit margins
very low while reducing incentives for local innnovation. The likely outcome is for a Southern manufacturer simply to pay
royalties for a technology rather than to innovate, thus perpetuating the technological dependence on Northern firms.
Thus,
TRIPs enables the technological leader, in this case the United States, to greatly influence the pace of technological and
industrial development in rival industrialized countries, the NICs, and the Third World.
Special
and Differential Status
The
centerpiece of UNCTAD is that owing to the critical nexus between trade and development, developing countries must not be
subjected to the same expectations, rules, and regulations that govern trade among the developed countries. Owing to historical
and structural considerations, developing countries need special consideration and special assistance in levelling the playing
field for them to be able to participate equitably in world trade. This would include both the use of protective tariffs for
development purposes and preferential access of developing country exports to developed country markets.
While
GATT was not concerned about development, it did recognize the “special and differential status” of the developing
countries. Perhaps the strongest statement of this was in the Tokyo Round Declaration in 1973, which recognized “the
importance of the application of differential measures in developing countries in ways which will provide special and more
favourable treatment for thenm in areas of negotiation where this is feasible.” Different sections of the evolving GATT
code allowed countries to renegotiate tariff bindings in order to promote the establishment of certain industries; allowed
developing countries to use tariffs for economic development and fiscal purposes; allowed them to use quantitative restrictions
to promote infant industries; and conceded the principle of non-recirpocity by developing countries in trade negotiation.
The 1979 Framework Agreement known at the Enabling Clause also provided a permanent legal basis for General System of Preferences
(GSP) schemes that would provide preferential access to developing country exports.
A
significant shift occurred in the Uruguay Round. GSP schemes were not bound, meaning tariffs could be raised against developing
country until they equalled the bound rates applied to imports for all sources. Indeed, during the negotiations, the threat
to remove GSP was used as “a form of bilateral pressure on developing countries.” SDT was turned from a focus
on a special right to protect and special rights of market access to “one of responding to special adjustment difficulties
in developing countries stemming from the implementation of WTO decisions.” Measures mean to address the structural
inequality of the trading system gave way to measures, such as a lower rate of tariff reduction or a longer time frame for
implementing decisions, which regarded the problem of developing countries as simply that of catching up in an essentially
even playing field.
STD
has been watered down in the WTO, and this is not surprising for the neoliberal agenda that underpins the WTO philosophy differs
from the Keynesian assumptions of GATT: that there are no special rights, no special protections needed for development. The
only route to development is trade liberalization.
Fate
of the Special Measures for Developing Countries Perhaps
Quoted
in Proposal for Oxfam Work on WTO Institutional Reform, December 1999. Ibid. In her speech on Nov. 30, 1999, shortly before
the collapse of the Seattle ministerial, Minister of Development Clare Short did not mention anything about the need for any
reform of the WTO. Instead she tried to sell a Millenium Round as “Development Round” in a desperate effort to
push through a new round of global liberalization. Figures from World Trade Organization, Annual Report 1998: International
Trade Statistics (Geneva: WTO, 1998), p. 12. Quoted in “Cakes and Caviar: The Dunkel Draft and Third World Agriculture,”
Ecologist, Vol. 23, No. 6 (Nov-Dec. 1993), p. 220. C. Fred Bergsten, UNCTAD, Trade and Development Report 1991 (New York:
United Nations, 1991), p. 191. See discussion of this in Walden Bello and Stephanie Rosenfeld, Dragons in Distress: Asia’s
Miracle Economies in Crisis (San Francisco: Institute for Food and Development Policy, 1990), p. 161.
Quoted
in John Whaley, “Special and Differential Treatment in the Millenium Round,” CSGR Working Paper, No. 30/99 (May
1999), p 3. Ibid., p. 4. Ibid., p. 7. Ibid., p. 10. Ibid., p. 14.