the standard of living tumbled
According to the Ukrainian State Statistics
Committee, quoted by the IMF, real wages in 1998 had fallen by more than 75 percent in relation to their 1991 level.( http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2003/cr03174.pdf )
Ironically, the IMF sponsored program was intended
to alleviate inflationary pressures: it consisted in imposing "dollarised" prices on an impoverished population with earnings
below ten dollars a month.
Combined with the abrupt hikes in fuel and
energy prices, the lifting of subsidies and the freeze on credit contributed to destroying industry (both public and private)
and undermining Ukraine's breadbasket economy.
In November 1994, World Bank negotiators were
sent in to examine the overhaul of Ukraine's agriculture. With trade liberalization (which was part of the economic package),
US grain surpluses and "food aid" were dumped on the domestic market, contributing to destabilizing one of the World's largest
and most productive wheat economies, (e.g. comparable to that of the American Mid West).
By 1998, the deregulation of the grain market
had resulted in a decline in the production of grain by 45 percent in relation to its 1986-90 level. The collapse in livestock
production, poultry and dairy products was even more dramatic.
(See http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/scr/2003/cr03174.pdf )
The cumulative decline in GDP resulting from
the IMF sponsored reforms was in excess of 60 percent (from 1992 to 1995).
Propaganda in support of the "Free Market"
Under these circumstances, why would Yushchenko,
who was closely associated with the process of economic destruction and impoverishment be so popular? Why has the public image
and political reputation of an IMF protégé, namely Mr. Yushchenko remained unscathed?
What the neoliberal agenda does is to build
a consensus in "the free market reforms". "Short term pain gain for long term gain" says the World Bank. "Bitter economic
medicine" is the only solution, much in the same way as the Spanish inquisition was the consensus underlying the feudal social
In an utterly twisted logic, poverty is presented
as a precondition for building a prosperous society. This consensus presents a World of landless farmers, shuttered factories,
jobless workers and gutted social programs as a means to achieving economic and social progress.
To sustain the consensus and convince public
opinion, requires "turning the World upside down", creating divisions within society, distorting the truth and ensuring, through
a massive propaganda campaign, that no other viable political alternative to the "free market" is allowed to emerge.
Why is Yushchenko so popular? For same reason
as George W. Bush, running on his record of war crimes is popular.
And because his opponent, outgoing Prime Minister
Yanukovich does not represent a genuine political alternative for The Ukraine, which forcefully challenges the international
financial institutions and the interests of Western corporate capital, which are destroying and impoverishing an entire nation.
The 2004 election in the Ukraine was built
on a massive propaganda and public relations campaign, supported by the US, with money payoffs by Washington for political
parties and organizations committed to Western strategic and economic interests. In turn, US intelligence, working hand in
glove with various foundations including the NED, has consistently supported this process of civil society manipulation. The
objective is not democracy, but rather the fracturing and colonization of the former Soviet Union.
The IMF and "Good Governance"
In the Ukraine, the IMF not only intervened
in the implementation of the macroeconomic agenda, it also intruded directly in the arena of domestic party politics. As in
Russia in 1993, the Ukrainian parliament was seen as an obstacle to the implementation of the "free market reforms".
In 1999, under due pressure from Washington and the IMF, Yushchenko was appointed Prime Minister:
Yushchenko's candidacy had been proposed
by 10 parliamentary groups and factions, and Kuchma agreed with their choice...
The weightiest argument may be the International
Monetary Fund's desire to see Yushchenko as Ukraine's prime minister, because the provision of the former Soviet republic
with extended finance facilities depends on that.
Several parliament members believe
the IMF is ready to extend a loan worth 300m dollars to Ukraine in January in case Yushchenko becomes prime minister. (ITAR-TASS
news agency, Moscow, 17 Dec 1999)
Following his appointment, Yushchenko immediately
set in motion a major IMF sponsored bankruptcy program directed against Ukrainian industry, which essentially consisted in
closing down part of the country's manufacturing base. He also attempted to undermine the bilateral trade in oil and
natural gas between Russia and the Ukraine on behalf of the IMF which had demanded that this trade be conducted in US
dollars rather than in terms of commodity barter.
They have sacked "our own" Prime Minister!
Yushchenko was accused by his opponents of
having put the interests of the IMF ahead of those of the country. In 2001, Yushchenko was sacked as prime minister following
a non-confidence vote in the parliament:
"Viktor Yushchenko has
fulfilled obligations to the IMF better and more accurately than his duties to citizens of his our country, Olena Markosyan,
a Kharkiv-based analyst, has opined in Ukrainian centrist daily Den" (BBC Monitoring, 16 Nov 2004)
"This [Yushchenko] government
openly states that it executes all IMF recommendations. Though the government declares the social direction of its policy,
actually it is carrying out an anti-social, anti-national policy," said Communist Party leader Heorhiy Kruchkov ( quoted
in Financial Times, May 17, 2001)
The international financial community
took immediate action. The Ukraine was back on the creditors' blacklist.
"The West, which openly put
its stake on Yushchenko recently, is not likely to sit on its hands. There is no lack of instruments to bring pressure on
Kiev. Most probably the question of resuming IMF, World Bank and EBRD credits to Ukraine will be put on hold because they
were expressly linked with Yushchenko's stay in power.... Talks with the Paris Club on restructuring Ukraine's $1.2 billion
debt may run into difficulty... Not surprisingly, (Ukrainian President) Leonid Kuchma yesterday hastened to distance himself
from what is happening and spoke critically about the Rada [Parliament] decision. (Vremya Novostei, 1 May 2001, original
IMF Managing Director Horst Kohler was
adamant. "Yushchenko has gained a lot of credibility outside of Ukraine, and I think he also deserves support inside of Ukraine."
(quoted in the Financial Times, 27 April 2001). The IMF Head did not mince his words:
"He added that the IMF respects
Ukraine's right to choose its leaders, but maintained that the direction of reforms must be preserved. He questioned the wisdom
of the VR spending time on maneuvering for a vote of no-confidence in the government while reforms need to be implemented."
Replicating Yugoslavia. The Partition of
A few months after his dismissal in 2001, Yushchenko
was in Washington for talks with senior members of the Bush administration. He was back in Washington in early 2003 under
the auspices of the International Republican Institute. During this visit, he met with Vice President Dick Cheney and Deputy
Secretary of State Richard Armitage.
The Neocons had carefully "set the stage" for
the October-November 2004 presidential elections.
Yugoslavia was a dress rehearsal for the fracturing
of the remnant republics of the former Soviet Union. As recent developments suggest, the break up of the country, namely the
partition of The Ukraine, modeled on the experience of former Yugoslavia is, no doubt, one among several transition "scenarios"
envisaged by the Bush administration.
Creating divisions between Ukrainians, Russians,
Tatars in Crimea and other ethnic groups, between Russian Orthodox. Ukrainian Orthodox and Ukrainian Catholics, etc. is part
of Washington's hidden agenda.
Military Realignments in support of the
Militarisation supports the Free Market and
vice versa. The CIA oversees the NED. The donor community including the Washington based Bretton Woods institutions collaborate
with the European Union, NATO and the US State Department.
War and Globalization go in hand in hand. While
Yushchenko is considered a protégé of the international financial community, his colleague and political crony, former Defense
Minister Yevyen Marchuk is a unbending supporter of US and NATO military presence in the region.
It was largely the initiative of Yevyen Marchuk
as Defense Minister to send Ukrainian troops to Iraq, a decision which was opposed by the majority of the Ukrainian population.
In August, Marchuk met with Defense Secretary
Donald Rumsfeld at The Crimean seaside resort of Yalta.
On the agenda of the August talks: Ukraine's
participation in the Iraqi war theater but also the upcoming Ukrainian elections. Defense Minister Marchuk announced following
these meetings that Kiev would continue to participate in "the coalition of the willing" and would maintain its troops in
Marchuk was sacked in September, barely a month
before the first round of the presidential elections.
Attempting a Coup d'Etat?
In a televised address on November 25th, Marchuk,
sent a message to the military, police and security forces to disobey the authority of the civil authorities, namely the government
of Leonid Kuchma.
"Ukraine’s former defense minister
and head of the National Security and Defense Council has declared that he’s convinced that opposition leader Viktor
Yushchenko is entitled to be recognized as the president of Ukraine.
Former Defense Minister Yevhen Marchuk called
on President Leonid Kuchma and Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovych to exercise good sense. Marchuk underscored that there should
be no bloodshed in Ukraine.
Marchuk appealed to state security officers
not to fulfill illegal orders and to remember their official honor and dignity.
He stressed that election fraud in the Nov.
21 presidential run-off election, which the government says was won by Prime Minister Yanukovych, was on a mass scale. He
said that there is only one way out of the tense political stand-off that has engulfed Ukraine since Monday: negotiations
Marchuk also appealed to Russian Ambassador
to Ukraine Viktor Chernomyrdin to pass along to Russian President Vladimir Putin only objective information. He reminded officers
of the Russian Black Sea fleet in Sevastopol that they are on the territory of a foreign government, and that they should
remain mindful of that, calling on the Russian Federation’s defense minister to obey the law." (See Kiev Post,
26 Nov 2004 and Kanal 5 transcripts, BBC Monitoringm 26 Nov 2004)
This statement by Marchuk, which calls upon
the Armed forces and the Police to go against the government, essentially sets the stage for a US-NATO sponsored Coup d'Etat.
Power Struggle: Oil and Pipeline Corridors
Behind the presidential elections, there is
a power struggle between pro-US-NATO and pro-Russian factions within the leading political establishment and the military.
What is at stake is not only the maintenance
of the IMF sponsored macroeconomic agenda, strategic US-NATO military interests in the region are also at stake.
The objective of the Bush Administration is
to install a Ukrainian government which is firmly aligned with Washington, with the ultimate objective of displacing the Russian
military from the Black Sea.
In this regard, The Ukraine has already signed
several military agreements with NATO and Washington under the government of Leonid Kuchma.
The Ukraine is a member of GUUAM, a military
alliance between five former Soviet republics ( Georgia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Azerbaijan and Moldova). This military alliance
was initially designed in 1997 by the Ukrainian National Security Services (NSBU) in close liaison with Washington.
Its objective was to undermine the alliance between Russia and Belarus, signed between Moscow and Minsk in 1996.
The Ukraine also signed agreements with Poland
and the Baltic states, pertaining to the control of transport corridors and pipeline routes.
GUUAM lies strategically at the hub of
the Caspian oil and gas wealth, "with Moldava and the Ukraine offering [pipeline] export routes to the West." The objective
of GUUAM was to exclude Russia from the Black Sea, protect the Anglo-American pipeline routes out of Central Asia and the
Caspian sea and essentially cut Russia off not only from the Caspian sea oil basin but also from the Black sea.
Coinciding with the ceremony of NATO's 50th
anniversary at the outset of the war on Yugoslavia in 1999, the heads of State from all five GUUAM countries were present
including President Leonid Kuchma of The Ukraine. They had been invited to NATO's three day celebration in Washington to sign
the GUUAM agreement under NATO and US auspices.
Georgia, Azerbaijan and Uzbekistan, immediately
announced that they would be leaving the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) security union, which defines the framework
of military cooperation between the former Soviet republics, as well their links to Moscow:
"The formation of GUUAM (under
NATO's umbrella and financed by Western military aid) was intent upon further fracturing the CIS. The Cold War,
although officially over, had not yet reached its climax: the members of this new pro-NATO political grouping were not only
supportive of the 1999 bombing of Yugoslavia, they had also agreed to 'low level military cooperation with NATO while insisting
that 'the group is not a military alliance directed against any third party, namely Moscow.' Dominated by Anglo-American
oil interests, the formation of GUUAM ultimately purports on excluding Russia from the oil and gas deposits in the Caspian
area as well as isolating Moscow politically." (Michel Chossudovsky, War and Globalization, the Truth behind September
11, Global Research, Montreal, 2002, Chapter V)
Text of Former Defense Minister Marchuk's
speech on Kanal 5 TV.
25 November 2004
Speaking on opposition 5 Kanal, former Defence
Minister Yevhen Marchuk urged President Leonid Kuchma to admit widespread vote rigging
(Marchuk) Dear viewers of 5 Kanal, dear participants
in the political events, dear government officials, dear military.
(Passage omitted: could not speak earlier due
Police must help, not fight civilians
(Addressing servicemen) When fulfilling any
orders given to you, you must remember one thing: you are dealing with human beings, civilians, citizens, your brothers, sisters
or friends. The main thing is: using force - to say nothing of using arms - against civilians, against your fellow citizens
is an extremely high risk.
You must remember that any political orders
are usually issued verbally, while commanders issue orders either in writing or verbally. Therefore you must be very clear
about formulating and understanding orders.
Using force, in any form, is not only a great
risk as I said, but is always fraught with casualties, even when weapons are not used. Servicemen know well that you can use
force without using arms and cause panic and casualties among protesters because of chaotic movement of a panicking crowd
of people. This is a science you've studied well.
It is worth reminding you that the law on the
fundamental principles of national security says that before deciding to use force a government must weigh its force compared
to the object it plans to using force against. To put it simply, you cannot use force against the peaceful population. While
using other means, you must ask yourselves whether this could lead to panic and casualties.
To special forces. I understand that today
you are called upon to perform various tasks as special units within the Ministry of Interior and the Security Service. When
I worked on the law on the Security Services of Ukraine, I had to add one article, almost in the last minute: officers, servicemen
and officials at the Security Service of Ukraine must not perform orders that do not correspond to the constitution and the
law. The same is stipulated in other laws that regulate security agencies. In this connection I want to remind you that most
special units must now, first of all, stay at their home base and, mainly, not to perform any tasks in plain clothes, especially
in protesters' midst. The only thing you can do is help protesters in keeping order, preventing provocations and identifying
provocateurs who can cause a lot of trouble.
I also want to address special units of the
Interior Ministry and interior troops. It's hard work now. But you must remember one thing. You are facing people who disagree
with the outcome of the election. They are defending their constitutional right to protest. It is their constitutional right,
and you must help them.
Protesters must not storm
I also want to address protesters themselves.
Friends, you need to understand that there are instances when governments can legitimately use force: when government bodies
come under attack: either the presidential administration, the Cabinet of Ministers, the Supreme Council, the Constitutional
Court and the Supreme Court.
(Passage omitted: these are guarded by police)
Therefore, there should be no storming. Any
storming will invariably cause casualties.
I also wish to address the leaders of the Russian
Black Sea Fleet and my colleague, Russian Defence Minister Sergey Ivanov. Please give an order to all your units. It is desirable
now, while there is a crisis in Ukraine, that the main units of the Black Sea Fleet stay at their home base. This would be
the wisest and farsighted decision. You have a complex status. You are based in a foreign state. Therefore, any careless action
could cause great harm to Ukrainian-Russian relations and the fleet's continued deployment in Ukraine.
I would also like to address the Russian ambassador
in Ukraine, Viktor Chernomyrdin. (In Russian) Viktor Stepanovich, please try and insist that your staff report unbiased information
to the Russian president about the true state of affairs in Ukraine regarding the election. The Russian president must receive
maximum objective information about developments in Ukraine. I am sorry, I have certain reasons to give you this advice. But
we have known each other for a long time, and I think you get my meaning.
Message to President Kuchma: vote was rigged
(In Ukrainian) I would also like to address
the president of Ukraine. Leonid Danylovych, you know very well the true state of affairs and the true reasons for the current
situation. I have told you before, it is sad to see how you are ending your presidency. But unfortunately this is the way
it is. You are president now, and very much depends on you. And intimidation is not the way out - for either side. The situation
has reached boiling point, a level of confrontation with such potential that the risk is growing every day. Only talks and
nothing else can resolve this problem. You as president must seize the initiative and understand that today you as the guardian
of the constitution and stability you bear the chief responsibility for stability and a peaceful way to resolve this conflict
Leonid Danylovych, all people know there was
widespread vote-rigging. Maybe you don't know this, but teams of Donbass people toured the country in carousel voting by absentee
ballots. And before that there were squads going around intimidating electoral commissions and voters. They added a huge number
of people to the circle of (opposition leader Viktor) Yushchenko's supporters and turned many people away from you. Believe
me, it is these circumstances that scared many people, that this is possible in Ukraine, - these very circumstances caused
the greatest damage to your reputation. Maybe your headquarters do not tell you this, but I have the moral right - and you
know why - to say this straight to your face.
(Passage omitted: more in this vein)
There is only one solution: talks. But not
talks between the victorious and the defeated, but talks between equals. And to reach the platform of equals, you must seriously
consider what happened during the election. And the fact that there was widespread vote rigging has been proven.
(Passage omitted: hopes there will be no bloodshed.)
The protest potential is growing fast. But
the government is also concentrating a large potential to counter it. And I know that this potential is strong. Therefore,
you must stop. Just as the arms race which seemed insurmountable was once stopped, now we must stop the growth of potential
on both sides. The situation is extremely dangerous.
Courts will prove opposition victory
I also wish to address Viktor Yushchenko. Viktor
Andriyovych, I am firmly convinced that legal and constitutional procedures can prove that you won.